techActiveDec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
Odds Comparison
10 outcomes · 1 source| Outcome | Implied Probability | Source |
|---|---|---|
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? — No | 100.0% | Polymarket |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30? — No | 100.0% | Polymarket |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? — No | 99.8% | Polymarket |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? — No | 98.1% | Polymarket |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? — No | 87.5% | Polymarket |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? — Yes | 12.5% | Polymarket |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? — Yes | 1.9% | Polymarket |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? — Yes | 0.3% | Polymarket |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? — Yes | 0.0% | Polymarket |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30? — Yes | 0.0% | Polymarket |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? — Yes | 0.0% | Polymarket |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? — No | 0.0% | Polymarket |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? — No
100.0%
Polymarket
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30? — No
100.0%
Polymarket
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? — No
99.8%
Polymarket
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? — No
98.1%
Polymarket
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? — No
87.5%
Polymarket
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? — Yes
12.5%
Polymarket
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? — Yes
1.9%
Polymarket
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? — Yes
0.3%
Polymarket
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? — Yes
0.0%
Polymarket
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30? — Yes
0.0%
Polymarket
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? — Yes
0.0%
Polymarket
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? — No
0.0%
Polymarket
Market Info
- Event Type
- prediction
- Data Sources
- Polymarket
- Last Updated
- Aug 25, 2026